Modeling and Predicting Sunspot Activity - State SpaceReconstruction + Arti cial Neural Network

نویسندگان

  • D. R. Kulkarni
  • A. S. Pandya
چکیده

Ideas of state space reconstruction of dynamics are combined with nonparametric artiicial neu-ral network approach to model sunspot activity. The structural aspects of the model are for the most part determined from the sunspot data. The model gives a very good t to the data. Further it predicts weaker solar activity in the current (23-rd) cycle, with a maximum of 14436.

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تاریخ انتشار 2007